2026 Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iran

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 2 Sponsors

Introduced in House May 7, 2026 · 1.1K words Open full page ↗

119TH CONGRESS

2D SESSION

H. J. RES. 176

Authorizing the use of the United States Armed Forces against the

Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -5 29/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 160 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.