PASSAGE PROBABILITY
28%
Uncertain
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+4
69/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
2705 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+8
6 signed on
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Bipartisan support
+9
5 D · 2 R
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.