PASSAGE PROBABILITY
33.1%
Uncertain
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+4
69/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
481 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
29 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
17 D · 13 R
-
Sponsor influence
+4
85/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.