Joint resolution providing for an election to fill a vacancy in the Office of Sergeant at Arms

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 3 Compare versions History 7 Sponsors 2

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

20.4% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +2 57/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 1003 days quiet
Cosponsors +1 1 signed on
Bipartisan support +9 1 D · 1 R
Sponsor influence +2 71/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.