PASSAGE PROBABILITY
20.4%
Unlikely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Floor Consideration — base rate 27%, measured from VT's completed sessions
-
Momentum
base
50/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
549 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+6
4 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
3 D · 2 R
-
Sponsor influence
+1
55/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.