House concurrent resolution in memory of Elana Grace Korey and recognizing August 2, 2026, as 802 Day in Vermont

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

13.1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +1 54/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -21 148 days quiet
Cosponsors +1 1 signed on
Sponsor influence +4 87/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.