House concurrent resolution in memory of former Representative and Royalton Town Moderator David M. Ainsworth

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

11.8% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +2 61/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 2402 days quiet
Cosponsors +1 1 signed on
Sponsor influence +2 66/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.