House concurrent resolution remembering, with great sadness, the historic and interconnected 2011 earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear disasters that struck the Tohoku region of Japan

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

16.4% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +2 61/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 200 days quiet
Cosponsors +4 3 signed on
Sponsor influence +3 84/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.