House concurrent resolution in memory of North Bennington educator, coach, volunteer firefighter, and religious leader Robert P. Nolan

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

26.8% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +3 62/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 239 days quiet
Cosponsors +7 5 signed on
Bipartisan support +9 5 D · 1 R
Sponsor influence +2 68/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.