House concurrent resolution congratulating Phoenix Newell on winning two consecutive Vermont State Spelling Bees

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Overview Bill text 3 Compare versions History 6 Sponsors 3

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

16.6% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
Momentum +2 57/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 533 days quiet
Cosponsors +3 2 signed on
Bipartisan support +9 1 D · 2 R
Sponsor influence -3 19/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.