PASSAGE PROBABILITY
28.7%
Uncertain
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 28%, measured from VT's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+5
73/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
2391 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+4
3 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
1 D · 3 R
-
Sponsor influence
+4
90/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.