A resolution expressing the sense of the Senate that under no circumstances should Samuel Bankman-Fried receive executive clemency, including a pardon or commutation, and affirming the Senate's commitment to the rule of law and integrity of the United States financial system.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1.6% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 16%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum +1 56/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -16 117 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.