A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress.

Introduced

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Floor

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Passed

Enacted

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Introduced — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -4 34/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 170 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.