Congressional Prediction Market Ban Act of 2026

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 2 Sponsors

Introduced in House May 14, 2026 · 1.3K words Open full page ↗

119TH CONGRESS

2D SESSION

H. R. 8838

To amending chapter 131 of title 5, United States Code, to prohibit Members

of Congress from certain participation in prediction markets, and for

other purposes.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -5 27/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 153 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.