Campaign Event Contract Integrity Act

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 2 Sponsors

Introduced in House May 12, 2026 · 1.4K words Open full page ↗

119TH CONGRESS

2D SESSION

H. R. 8771

To prohibit certain campaign-affiliated individuals from trading political event

contracts while in possession of material nonpublic campaign information,

to require covered prediction market platforms to maintain safeguards

against insider trading and market manipulation, and for other purposes.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -5 29/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 155 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.