Expanding the Defense Industrial Base Sales Act

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 4 Sponsors

Introduced in House May 4, 2026 · 550 words Open full page ↗

119TH CONGRESS

2D SESSION

H. R. 8649

To amend the Arms Export Control Act to authorize the use of foreign

military financing for direct commercial contracts, and for other purposes.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -4 30/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 163 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.