Event Contract Enforcement Act

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 3 Sponsors

Introduced in House Mar 5, 2026 · 667 words Open full page ↗

119TH CONGRESS

2D SESSION

H. R. 7840

To amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit event contracts based

on terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, illegal activity, election out-

comes, government activities, or other activities determined by the Com-

modity Futures Trading Commission to be contrary to the public interest,

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 2%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum -4 33/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 225 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.