International Traffic in Arms Regulations Licensing Reform Act

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 3 Compare versions History 11 Sponsors

Referred in Senate Sep 3, 2025 · 957 words Open full page ↗

IIB

119TH CONGRESS

1ST SESSION

H. R. 4215

IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES

SEPTEMBER 3, 2025

Received; read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 16%, measured from US's completed sessions
Momentum +4 67/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 478 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.