Recognizing Judson Caldwell on the occasion of his Wish Reveal Celebration.

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Introduced — · 449 words Open full page ↗

2025S0474-1 08/11/25

By: Creighton

S.R. No. 10

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 22%, measured from TX's completed sessions
Momentum +0 52/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 401 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.