Proposing a constitutional amendment requiring the denial of bail under certain circumstances to persons accused of certain offenses punishable as a felony.

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S.J.R. No. 5

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

5.9% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 22%, measured from TX's completed sessions
Momentum +6 78/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 498 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.