Proposing a constitutional amendment to authorize a limitation on the total amount of ad valorem taxes that a political subdivision other than a school district, county, municipality, or junior college district may impose on the residence homesteads of certain low-income persons who are disabled or elderly and their surviving spouses.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Amended — base rate 19%, measured from TX's completed sessions
Momentum -0 48/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 518 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.