Relating to the regulation of campaign treasurer appointments and related matters and the content of and posting of information contained in a campaign treasurer appointment; providing a civil penalty.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1.9% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 22%, measured from TX's completed sessions
Momentum +2 60/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 526 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.