modify the number of signatures required on certain election-related petitions.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

39.2% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Amended — base rate 63%, measured from SD's completed sessions
Momentum -2 40/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 250 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.