modify the requirements for a petition to refer an excess tax levy of a school district to a vote.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

42.3% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Reported from Committee — base rate 63%, measured from SD's completed sessions
Momentum +1 54/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 222 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.