Major Matt Shaw, retirement

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 2 Compare versions History 1 Sponsors

May 6, 2026 · House

Introduced and adopted

PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 11%, measured from SC's completed sessions
Momentum +4 68/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 157 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.