Elections; primary elections; presidential election years; candidate filing periods; statewide elected positions; effective date.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Floor Consideration — base rate 14%, measured from OK's completed sessions
Momentum -2 39/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 252 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.