Honoring Kaitlyn Carr on securing first place in the 1,600- and 3,200-meter runs at the 2025 Division III State Championship.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 8%, measured from OH's completed sessions
Momentum base 50/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 452 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.