Moves the date of the presidential primary to the first Tuesday in March

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 7 Sponsors

S8604 — · 448 words Open full page ↗

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 16%, measured from NY's completed sessions
Momentum +5 71/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 281 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.