Relates to deadlines for filing nominating petitions for small city school board elections

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Amended — base rate 13%, measured from NY's completed sessions
Momentum -2 43/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -19 133 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.