Relates to prediction markets

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Overview Bill text 3 Compare versions History 6 Sponsors

A9251B — · 2K words Open full page ↗

STATE OF NEW YORK

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9251--B

2025-2026 Regular Sessions

IN ASSEMBLY

November 7, 2025

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Introduced by M. of A. VANEL, SHIMSKY, STECK, HYNDMAN -- read once and

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

10% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Amended — base rate 13%, measured from NY's completed sessions
Momentum +1 55/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -4 54 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.