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A536A — · 615 words Open full page ↗

STATE OF NEW YORK

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536--A

2025-2026 Regular Sessions

IN ASSEMBLY

(Prefiled)

January 8, 2025

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 16%, measured from NY's completed sessions
Momentum +6 76/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 221 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.