STOP ILLEGAL GUN TRADE ACT

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SENATE BILL 17

57th legislature - STATE OF NEW MEXICO - second session, 2026

INTRODUCED BY

Micaelita Debbie O’Malley and Andrea Romero

and Heather Berghmans and Charlotte Little

and Patricia Roybal Caballero

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

43.2% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 63%, measured from NM's completed sessions
Momentum +3 62/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 200 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.