making synthetic and semisynthetic kratom illegal to prepare, distribute, manufacture, sell, possess, or advertise, with exceptions made for scientific research, and relative to the official ballot referendum form of town meetings.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

42.9% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 50%, measured from NH's completed sessions
Momentum +4 68/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -20 142 days quiet
Cosponsors +4 3 signed on
Sponsor influence +5 97/100

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.