Study resolution examining the effects of public safety communications on extreme weather responses

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

21.1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Floor Consideration — base rate 44%, measured from MT's completed sessions
Momentum -0 48/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 509 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.