Interim study on moving the date of the primary election

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 15 Compare versions History 34 Sponsors

No sponsors recorded.

PASSAGE PROBABILITY

26% Uncertain

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 46%, measured from MT's completed sessions
Momentum +2 60/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 525 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.