Elections: scheduling; August primary election date; eliminate, move primary election date to May, and add the February regular election date. Amends (See bill).

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

12.9% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 33%, measured from MI's completed sessions
Momentum +2 58/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 208 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.