Hate Crimes and Hate Bias - Definitions of Sexual Orientation and Hate Bias Incident

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

2.2% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 29%, measured from MD's completed sessions
Momentum -5 27/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 254 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.