Precept setting forth the Special Election to fill the vacancy of the First Middlesex Senatorial District

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 1 History 1 Sponsors

Oct 20, 2025 · Senate

Rules suspended and adopted

PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Introduced — base rate 3%, measured from MA's completed sessions
Momentum -8 14/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 364 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.