Proposing a constitutional amendment to provide for direct election of supreme court justices and abolish the supreme court nominating commission.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

15.4% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 35%, measured from KS's completed sessions
Momentum +2 59/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 610 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.