Proposing to amend section 1 of article 11 of the constitution of the state of Kansas to value residential real property, commercial and industrial real property and mobile homes personal property based on the fair market value or average fair market value and providing that the legislature may provide by law for the freezing of property tax valuations for owner-occupied residential property of qualifying seniors.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

19.6% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 35%, measured from KS's completed sessions
Momentum +6 78/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 633 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.