Requiring the governor to appoint a person to fill vacancies in the offices of United States senator, state treasurer and commissioner of insurance from a list of names approved by the legislature.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

15.6% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 35%, measured from KS's completed sessions
Momentum +2 60/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 619 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.