Proposing an amendment to section 1 of article 5 of the constitution of the state of Kansas to require individuals to be citizens of the United States, at least 18 years of age and a resident of the voting area in which such person seeks to vote in order to vote in this state.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

19.3% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 35%, measured from KS's completed sessions
Momentum +6 77/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 632 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.