Senate Substitute for HB 2018 by Committee on Federal and State Affairs - Creating the crime of interference with the conduct of a religious assembly, providing criminal penalties therefor and providing for a civil cause of action for damages.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

15.8% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 35%, measured from KS's completed sessions
Momentum +2 61/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 632 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.