DOMESTIC VIOLENCE ORDER-EFFECT

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

91.5% Very likely

Why this number

Stage base Passed — base rate 96%, measured from IL's completed sessions
Momentum +9 90/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -13 104 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.