RIVER ACCESS MODERNIZATION ACT

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House Amendment 003 — · 702 words Open full page ↗

Illinois General Assembly

ILGA.GOV

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

9.9% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Passed First Chamber — base rate 25%, measured from IL's completed sessions
Momentum +5 74/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -20 143 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.