PASSAGE PROBABILITY
48.8%
Uncertain
Why this number
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Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 61%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+3
63/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
663 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+4
3 signed on
-
Sponsor influence
+3
82/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.