PASSAGE PROBABILITY
42.3%
Uncertain
Why this number
-
Stage
base
In Committee — base rate 46%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
-1
45/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
550 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
10 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
4 D · 7 R
-
Sponsor influence
+1
59/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.