PASSAGE PROBABILITY
53%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
In Committee — base rate 46%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+1
56/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Cosponsors
+1
1 signed on
-
Sponsor influence
+5
98/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.