PASSAGE PROBABILITY
72.2%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 61%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+5
71/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-15
116 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
21 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
17 D · 5 R
-
Sponsor influence
+4
86/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.