PASSAGE PROBABILITY
61.7%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 61%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+4
69/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
1677 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
38 signed on
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Bipartisan support
+9
23 D · 16 R
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.